Unemployment experts predictions incorrect

Logic is a hobbyist of economists
Look no one wants more then Logic to see the return to the great economy of the roaring times of pre 2006 but reality is sharing a different opinion and Logic really believes that the economy will not return to the times of the easy credit and consumers buying everything just to buy it and we have a really good understanding of why it will not, along with these thoughts we also will share why the unemployment figures of the experts that were surveyed in mid November about unemployment being 7.5% at its peek are very incorrect.

Logic understands these are paid economists they do not want to stand out even be fired for their true predictions so the result of these types is conservatism, and truth be told this is really very irresponsible reporting on their behaves though who can blame them they need their jobs also, right. 

How we predict unemployment figures
Regardless of the current reported unemployment figure of 6.5% the way we look at the total unemployment is to add all of the persons living in America that can work these figures are not including those that give up after benefits are exhausted then minus those to young to work under 18 and minus those that are over the retirement age and our estimates are 15% +/- 5% above the current unemployment rate making the current unemployment rate 31.5%.

Compelling reasons for high unemployment
If Logic is not correct then why are states, counties and cities asking the Federal Government for infrastructure funds early when unemployment is currently at 6.5% it is really easy to see where Logic predicts the 25% unemployment and the 15% not counted. That is 40% unemployment folks but before you click off of this article or dismiss Logic as out of touch the next few paragraphs might allow you to see what we see.

No manufacturing demand overseas
Next since we buy in America so much of all the products produced from China, yet there is currently rising numbers of factory closures and people in these third world nations have been and will continue to see rioting over these changing overseas times because so many persons living in China had a taste of money only to have it taken away and this shares with us that America is not only not buying today but this clearly shows that American Retailers are not and have not ordered in the quantities if at all from China and other supplying nations as the holiday season grows nearer meaning that America will not have a gift related holiday season generally the largest annual retail sells period.

Americans in Retail Space Prediction
With the amount of American’s working in the retail be it from the small flipper business of buying from places like China mark it up then sell it for a profit, then the number of big chain stores added across America we predict that retail, car, real estate, banking computer hardware and software and food services will be the biggest hit to commercial retail space resulting in the 2010 range that 50% of all retail space across America will be empty boxes and shells.

Our 2010 Unemployment Forecasted written 07/25/2008
We wrote the above titled article (see link below) then we had a high readership of our prediction on US Unemployment by 2010 you can read it here at 2010 a Nation of Sadness.
We also wrote the below article about retail employment in America if you would like to learn about handling the coming unemployment times ahead to 2010
Do you work in sales? Should you be worried?.

Here is the recovery of America 20 to 30 year cycle looking forward
We are predicting that Americans will return to savings allowing the current teenagers through 50 year old range to save like no other time then since following the Great Depression and this while painful we believe that American’s have learned a valuable lesson and they realize for all of those easy credit days and mass scale consumption days did nothing for them they are realizing that they spent there children, children money and a price must now be paid. When following the great depression American’s had also learned this hard lesson of easy money for doing nothing and living large that all ended one day following 1929 - 1933 and began a very saving conscious period as well as the stock market did not recover until around 1952 - 1954 and if you review the estimated time lines that is your 20 to 30 year cycle that we are headed into now.

This means those young persons living today that have not yet had children will remember not having the easy times and as their children grow up they will want the things for them they did not have returning in part to the America of the past 20 to 30 year cycle of buying their children anything and everything just like the period that just ended.

Americans are saving not spending
First the personal debt must retract then as American’s have extra money they are more out to begin a massive savings program that they will try to share with their future children with little to no success resulting in a repeated cycle though cycles as with history never repeat the exact same way twice. 

Logic and Lapel Pins

Avatar devoted to California Lapel Pins fit on Logic
Logic is the image above for this article and Logic is becoming the California expert and mascot for all things California so we are thinking of making a Logic lapel in like the ones Logic collects except it will feature Logic and have California on the bottom.

Giant collection of California Lapel Pins
We have been collecting lapel pins about anything California for while and Logic wears a different pin each day 6 days a week. California is amazing with so many locations, cities, counties, attractions, events even beaches so this collection is more then likely the largest state with so many lapel pins that just for each city they number 478 then 58 counties, 100+ attractions, 12+ state agencies and over 100 beaches just to mention some of the lapel pin locations we are sure to have a collection numbering in the thousands.

Logic does the weather web sites for Viper Logic’s California Weather Authority featuring California beaches and islands and one California Desert Weather site and you can see what we are doing with our California cities here California Weather Authority and the desert weather here Palm Springs Weather

Best Business to be in starts with a “VC”

Welcome to the business of Vocational Schools
Logic has talked and written all about mass layoffs and retail sales figures since 2005 and published in July 2008 then starting in late October and early November the US Government is talking about no ability to save what is coming the mass amounts of retail real estate, food and auto industry production and sells jobs that have began being eliminated not only in the US but all over the world.

As unemployment rises from the just ended third quarter and expected and predicted here on the Logic Talk Blog it was one thing for Logic to call the housing depression in March of 2007 as being seen at the street then predict the beginning and duration of the unemployment for the US but the best news is Logic has a great business suggestion for any business person who whats to benefit greatly and all while helping our fellow citizens. This article is ironically also a great way for a person needing to find new work by entering a vocational school to launch them into a new world of better money
and opportunity.

Vocational Schools will be a booming business
All one needs to do is to look towards the coming year following the holidays and it is clear that most unemployed will need retraining for infrastructure careers as we have noted in some of the Logic Talk posts.

Make more money after the tough times
It is our thoughts that American’s have come to the realization that spending is not a good thing, barrowing is a bad thing and saving is a great thing leading to the reduction of 50% of all retail commercial properties across America and the employees within those structures causing the largest unemployment percentages since the Great Depression. Vocational Schools will be the only long term fix reeducating the worker will also put them in line for great careers in America’s corporations producing products and providing services as the country comes out of these tough times around (in our opinion) 2012 - 2014.

How Logic makes money
Logic and the Viper Logic team are making more sells now then during the past 15 years of being in the software development and engineering business and it is all due to reinventing a company that while it was doing ok it needed to do better for the efforts applied. Do not get us wrong we are not a giant company but we are a happy company and we have one product that was timed for the current economic conditions though having a product that is a low cost money making service for businesses and organizations.

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Adam Carolla and Blogs

Blogs do not make money Adam says
Radio shock jock Adam Carolla (about the Adam Carolla Show) made a claim that blogs are not something to do because they make people no money and they are nothing but a venting method that no one reads any of them so who cares.

Logic thinks the answer is simple
Adam Carolla claims to be no rocket scientist (wisely so LOL) in fact he is a former construction day style worker turned talkoholic and we at Viper Logic love the radio show however as a shock jock it is sworn duty to draw attention and fire up all types races and style of life.

What is really going on with Adam Carolla
Logic thinks there is more to his not liking bloggers and to why he believes that blogs are total waste of time might be because Adam Carolla is all about Adam (Ace Man) Carolla and there are few like this Logic Talk blog that once in the while write about him but usually we write about Adam and a more popular personality from television Huell Howser a California television PBS documentary style travel twist show only aired in California. See here I go again writing about the California Famous Huell Howser another great entertainer.

Why more do not blog about Adam
More then likely Adam Carolla while syndicated in a few markets across the US he needs to get more consistent with his shows in a few areas like being away from the station less often, this would provide a reason more listeners are not willing to listen to repeats.

Next is the issue of hiring a strong side kick (like Danny was ok at with his honesty) that can get the show more active as we observe the weekly programming is one day a week they, he and Teresa do celebrity blog quotes ironically this day of the weekly show is when he bags on bloggers as non money making and a waste of time because no one reads them, WOW.

Someone might want to introduce Adam Carolla to Tech Crunch (not an Adam blog) a high tech industry blog that makes more money then Adam Carolla more then likely and has a larger daily audience that is a blog running 7 days a week not 5.

Next Adam Carolla’s show that by the way we like but hey we are located in a city that Adam and his wife enjoy Palm Springs, California and hey they even run advertisements for the show here in the Coachella Valley.

One other thing that is causing the show (in our opinion) to suffer is the amount of time devoted to making his movie (I cannot remember the name Hammer the Movie and then Dancing with the Stars bit.

He did truly allow the radio show that is supposed to be live 5 days a week for the morning drive in traffic from 6:00 AM to 10:00 AM but perhaps now that Dancing with the Stars is over for Adam and now that his movie has disappeared we can count on Adam Carolla to get his game on devoting himself to CBS Radio and the Adam Carolla show, we really him and the shows cast though the content of the show needs to be revisited.

Blogs about Adam Carolla
Having a wife and two children is not a money maker either so it is not all about money then is it because two carbon footprints and a wife are truly an expensive cost. Perhaps Adam needs more of the blogger community to write about him and even Teresa more often who knows maybe someone will read blogs if they are about Adam Carolla.